光伏上下游 “背道而馳”:硅料漲不停,低功率組件清貨降價,需求疲軟成難題2025-09-18 18:44來源:gessey瀏覽數:257次
多晶硅: 今日硅料價(jia)格小幅上(shang)漲,N型(xing)料主(zhu)流價(jia)格在50-59元/公斤,均(jun)價(jia)51.5元/公斤,上漲0.98%。N型顆粒硅(gui)(gui)(gui)主(zhu)流價格(ge)(ge)在(zai)47-49.5元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤,均(jun)價49元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤。國產復投特(te)(te)級(ji)硅(gui)(gui)(gui)料主(zhu)流價格(ge)(ge)在(zai)36-44元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤,均(jun)價43.5元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤,國產致密(mi)特(te)(te)級(ji)硅(gui)(gui)(gui)料主(zhu)流價格(ge)(ge)在(zai)35-43元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤,均(jun)價42.5元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤。全球多(duo)晶硅(gui)(gui)(gui)料主(zhu)流價格(ge)(ge)在(zai)19-22元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤,均(jun)價20元(yuan)(yuan)/公(gong)斤。 硅片: 今(jin)日硅(gui)片(pian)(pian)價格整體維穩,N型-183.75mm單晶硅(gui)片(pian)(pian)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)流(liu)現貨(huo)價格維持1.25-1.35元(yuan)(yuan)/片(pian)(pian),均價1.35元(yuan)(yuan)/片(pian)(pian)。N型-210mm單晶硅(gui)片(pian)(pian)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)流(liu)現貨(huo)價格維持1.58-1.7元(yuan)(yuan)/片(pian)(pian),均價1.7元(yuan)(yuan)/片(pian)(pian)。N型-210Rmm單晶硅(gui)片(pian)(pian)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)流(liu)現貨(huo)價格1.35-1.45元(yuan)(yuan)/片(pian)(pian),均價1.4元(yuan)(yuan)/片(pian)(pian)。
電池片: 今日電(dian)(dian)(dian)池片(pian)價格(ge)(ge)整(zheng)體維穩,24.3%以(yi)上(shang)183.75mm雙(shuang)面Topcon電(dian)(dian)(dian)池片(pian)主流(liu)價格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.3-0.33元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價0.315元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。24.3%以(yi)上(shang)210mm雙(shuang)面Topcon電(dian)(dian)(dian)池片(pian)主流(liu)價格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.295-0.31元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價0.3元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。24.3%以(yi)上(shang)210Rmm雙(shuang)面Topcon電(dian)(dian)(dian)池片(pian)主流(liu)價格(ge)(ge)在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.285-0.295元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價0.29元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。 組件: 今日(ri)組(zu)(zu)件(jian)(jian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格小幅下跌(die),雙面(mian)(mian)單晶(jing)perc組(zu)(zu)件(jian)(jian)(182系(xi)(xi)列)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.6-0.67元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.665元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa)。雙面(mian)(mian)單晶(jing)perc組(zu)(zu)件(jian)(jian)(210系(xi)(xi)列)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.64-0.68元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.67元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa)。N型雙面(mian)(mian)Topcon組(zu)(zu)件(jian)(jian)(182系(xi)(xi)列)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.65-0.71元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.7元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa)。N型雙面(mian)(mian)Topcon組(zu)(zu)件(jian)(jian)(210系(xi)(xi)列)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.65-0.71元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.7元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa)。N型雙面(mian)(mian)HJT組(zu)(zu)件(jian)(jian)(210系(xi)(xi)列)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.785-0.8元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.79元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa)。N型雙面(mian)(mian)BC組(zu)(zu)件(jian)(jian)(210R系(xi)(xi)列)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.78-0.81元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.79元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa)。中(zhong)國區分布(bu)式項目(≥595W)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格在(zai)(zai)(zai)0.67-0.7元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.685元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)(wa),下跌2.14%,中(zhong)國(guo)區分布(bu)式(shi)項目(≥615W)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)0.65-0.705元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.69元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),中(zhong)國(guo)區集(ji)中(zhong)式(shi)項目(≥585W)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)0.63-0.68元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.66元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。N型雙面(mian)BC組件(jian)(210R系列)集(ji)中(zhong)式(shi)項目價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)0.75-0.8元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.76元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。歐洲港(gang)(gang)口現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)(huo)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)0.088-0.96美(mei)(mei)(mei)元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.092美(mei)(mei)(mei)元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。印(yin)度港(gang)(gang)口現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)(huo)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)0.086-0.22美(mei)(mei)(mei)元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.21美(mei)(mei)(mei)元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)港(gang)(gang)口現(xian)貨(huo)(huo)(huo)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)在(zai)0.26-0.28美(mei)(mei)(mei)元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa),均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)為(wei)0.265美(mei)(mei)(mei)元(yuan)/瓦(wa)(wa)。 玻璃: 今日(ri)玻(bo)(bo)(bo)璃(li)價(jia)格(ge)整體維穩,3.2mm雙層(ceng)(ceng)鍍膜(mo)光(guang)(guang)伏玻(bo)(bo)(bo)璃(li)價(jia)格(ge)在(zai)(zai)19.5-23元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi),均價(jia)為20元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi)。2.0mm單層(ceng)(ceng)鍍膜(mo)光(guang)(guang)伏玻(bo)(bo)(bo)璃(li)價(jia)格(ge)在(zai)(zai)11-13.5元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi),均價(jia)為13元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi)。2.0mm雙層(ceng)(ceng)鍍膜(mo)光(guang)(guang)伏玻(bo)(bo)(bo)璃(li)價(jia)格(ge)在(zai)(zai)12-14.5元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi),均價(jia)為14元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi)。2.0mm背面光(guang)(guang)伏玻(bo)(bo)(bo)璃(li)價(jia)格(ge)在(zai)(zai)10.5-13元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi),均價(jia)為12.5元/平方(fang)(fang)(fang)米(mi)。
聚焦每日行情波動: 今日硅料價(jia)(jia)格(ge)小幅上漲,N型料主(zhu)流價(jia)(jia)格(ge)在50-59元(yuan)/公斤,均價(jia)(jia)51.5元(yuan)/公斤,上漲0.98%。 今日組件(jian)價格小幅(fu)下跌(die),中國區分布式項目(≥595W)價格在(zai)0.67-0.7元/瓦,均價為0.685元/瓦。
今日,硅(gui)(gui)料(liao)價格(ge)延續(xu)調(diao)漲(zhang)(zhang)態勢(shi),最高報(bao)價躍(yue)至59元(yuan)/公斤(jin)。成(cheng)交均價也呈探(tan)漲(zhang)(zhang)趨勢(shi),主流成(cheng)交區間處于51-52元(yuan)/公斤(jin),今日均價已調(diao)漲(zhang)(zhang)至51.5元(yuan)/公斤(jin)。與硅(gui)(gui)料(liao)這波強勁漲(zhang)(zhang)勢(shi)形成(cheng)鮮明對比的(de)是,分布式組(zu)件(jian)(jian)中的(de)低(di)功(gong)率(lv)產品價格(ge)卻(que)在持續(xu)下(xia)調(diao)。眼下(xia)已臨近9月中旬,部(bu)分企(qi)業(ye)出于清貨考量(liang),意圖(tu)借此抵消產品成(cheng)本(ben)壓(ya)力。加之(zhi)近期國內市(shi)(shi)場需(xu)求表(biao)現疲軟,上(shang)游材料(liao)價格(ge)的(de)不斷(duan)攀升,使得上(shang)下(xia)游客(ke)戶之(zhi)間的(de)博(bo)弈愈發激烈。另(ling)外(wai)(wai)頭部(bu)企(qi)業(ye)陸續(xu)推出更高功(gong)率(lv)的(de)產品,如Topcon625-635W等高效組(zu)件(jian)(jian),促使市(shi)(shi)場競(jing)爭(zheng)進一(yi)步加劇。目(mu)前來看低(di)功(gong)率(lv)產品價格(ge)的(de)調(diao)降或許只(zhi)是市(shi)(shi)場深度調(diao)整(zheng)的(de)開端,未(wei)來光伏市(shi)(shi)場的(de)價格(ge)走(zou)勢(shi)和競(jing)爭(zheng)格(ge)局仍(reng)充滿不確定性,但是基于本(ben)周硅(gui)(gui)料(liao)、硅(gui)(gui)片(pian)、電池片(pian)均有新一(yi)輪(lun)輪(lun)漲(zhang)(zhang),短期組(zu)件(jian)(jian)調(diao)降空間有限,成(cheng)本(ben)制約,部(bu)分專業(ye)化組(zu)件(jian)(jian)企(qi)業(ye),外(wai)(wai)采電池片(pian)為主的(de)前提下(xia),目(mu)前組(zu)件(jian)(jian)報(bao)價仍(reng)維持在0.69元(yuan)/瓦以(yi)上(shang)。
期貨市場 行(xing)情走勢(shi):主(zhu)力合約收盤價(jia)為(wei)53195元/噸,前(qian)結算價(jia)為(wei)53465元/噸,收盤價(jia)較前(qian)結算價(jia)跌幅為(wei)0.51%,收盤價(jia)較開盤價(jia)跌210元/噸,跌幅為(wei)0.39%,成交量為(wei)993手,持倉量為(wei)7055手。
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